On Friday, January 13th at 7PM, the (9-5 overall; 1-3 PAC), the Washington Huskies will resume their PAC-12 conference schedule on the road against the (12-4 overall; 3-2 PAC) Oregon Ducks in Eugene, Oregon.
Offensively, Oregon’s offense is hot from almost everywhere on the floor — except midrange shots from the right side of the court in the extended free-throw-line area.
Washington’s defense appears to be good within two-point range (45.6%)– except midrange shots from the right side of the court in the extended free-throw-line area.
However, UW’s three-point defense continues to struggle — allowing 36.6% shooting from three-point range (10th worst in the PAC-12).
If Washington does not improve its three-point defense against the Ducks, it will likely be a major factor leading to defeat because Oregon leads the PAC-12 in three-point percentage (37.1% in PAC-12 play) and total three-pointers made (39) this season.
Endyia Rogers #4, a 5’7″ senior guard, is averaging 15.4 points per game, 47.0% from three and 48.6% from two-point range; along with 3.8 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game in 30.2 minutes of play.
The second highest scoring combination for the Oregon Ducks is Te-Hina Paopao (assister) to Endyia Rogers (scorer).
Te-Hina Paopao #12, a 5’9″ sophomore guard, is averaging 12.7 points per game — shooting 53.8% from two-point range and 37.0% from three-point range — along with 4.4 rebounds and 1.7 steals per game in 31 minutes of play.
Te-Hina knocks down a 3 to cap a 9-0 run for the Ducks' first lead of the day.
VanSlooten #40, a 6’3″ freshman forward, is averaging 15.7 points per game, shooting 52.1% on two-pointers — she scores 11.5 points inside-the-paint which places her in the Top 2% of inside scorers nationally — along with 6.4 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 28.5 minutes of play.
The third highest scoring combination for the Oregon Ducks is Endyia Rogers (assister) to Chance Gray (scorer).
Chance Gray #2, a 5’9″ freshman guard, is Oregon’s fourth-leading scorer at 9.8 points on 32.5% shooting from three-point range in 28 minutes.
Kennedy Basham is a highly-skilled 6’7″ freshman forward (recruited heavily by ex-Husky coach Jody Wynn) that suffered an early season knee injury and has only seen limited minutes since coming back.
Another Oregon freshman, Jennah Isai, was averaging 19.1 minutes, 7.0 points, and 1.9 assists per game but recently transferred to BYU via the transfer portal.
Defensively, Oregon’s defense makes opponents struggle from everywhere on the floor — except three-pointers from the right side and straightaway; and midrange shots from the right side of the court in the extended free-throw-line area.
Unfortunately, the Washington Huskies offense has been cold from everywhere on the court — except interestingly enough, midrange shots from the right side of the court in the extended free-throw-line area and within 4.5 feet of the rim (61.5% shooting).
To secure the victory over Oregon, the Huskies will need to:
(1) control guard Endyia Rogers because, as the senior leader, she often carries the Ducks with clutch baskets, assists and steals — half of the Ducks active roster is comprised of sophomores and freshmen;
(2) defensively neutralize Oregon’s height inside with solid defense to prevent offensive rebounds and putbacks. Dalayah Daniels is a solid defender (highest rated individual defender on the Huskies) but she is going to need some help from her teammates;
(3) offensively neutralize Oregon’s height with efficient outside shooting — UW is shooting 22.6% from three overall (27.4% in PAC-12 play, worst in conference); and
(4) run the UW offense through Dalayah Daniels as much as possible to pull the Ducks’ bigs away from the basket to defend; as well as, for Daniels to drive and draw fouls.
A Washington Huskies’ road victory over #21 Oregon would be a huge upset and will likely require the Dawgs’ best performance this season.
Huskies Win Probability over the Ducks in Eugene, Oregon = 20%